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Fantasy Buy/Sell: Week #2

01/10/2013, 9:30pm EST
By Alexander Hinkley for NLL.com

Which players to buy low, who to avoid in salary cap game


Will Minnesota Swarm transition player Jordan MacIntosh live up to his high price in the NLL Fantasy salary cap game? See who's under/overvalued in the Buy/Sell column. (Photo: Larry Palumbo)

Week #2 is when the 2013 NLL regular season really gets going. Every team around the league except the Rochester Knighthawks will play this weekend, which means the world is your oyster when it comes to which players to put on your fantasy roster.

Buy’em/Sell’em is a weekly advice column highlighting a few players around the league who fantasy managers might want to consider buying or selling based on their recent performance and matchup.

Here are the players to buy and avoid this week:

BUY

Mark Matthews (Edmonton $15) – Matthews was the first-overall pick in the 2012 Entry Draft and as such, he is currently priced similar to what Kevin Crowley was last year and Cody Jamieson the year before. Both Crowley and Jamieson performed well in their respective rookie years while going up in fantasy value (currently priced at $22 and $21 respectively). There’s a lot of potential for Matthews to become a fantasy staple this season so get him on your roster early.

Shawn Williams (Buffalo $17) – Edmonton traded Shawn Williams to the Buffalo Bandits for a few draft picks during the offseason. Williams had a down year last season with just 16 goals, the least he has scored in a season since his rookie year in 1998. What makes me think he could rebound, even at 38 years old, is that his assists were still on par for what he normally puts up with 52. He played two seasons in Buffalo in 2000 and 2001 so the trade was actually somewhat of a homecoming for him. Look for him to set up guys like Luke Wiles, John Tavares, and Mark Steenhuis all season long.

Kevin Buchanan (Philadelphia $10) – With Dan Dawson no longer in Philadelphia, I think Kevin Buchanan will play a bigger role in the Wings offense. Buchanan is a really talented forward who just didn’t have the opportunity last year to produce what he could have. Last season in Buffalo, he was too far down on the depth chart to put up huge numbers. This happened to him early on in 2011 as well when he was playing behind Josh Sanderson, Dan Dawson and Casey Powell. Buchanan started getting more floor time after a five-goal performance a few games into the season and the result was 62 points (25+37) two years ago. He is still capable of these numbers.

Kevin Ross (Philadelphia $15) – Philly acquired Ross during the offseason in exchange for their first round pick in the 2015 draft. I like him for the same reasons I like Buchanan. He had a down year last season but put up some good numbers in 2011, showing that he has the skill to be a top producer. The fact of the matter is, someone is going to have to step up on offense for Philadelphia to compliment Kevin Crowley and Drew Westervelt. Ross and/or Buchanan could end up being steals at their current prices.

Cliff Smith (Washington $9) – Smith shocked a lot of people with his three-goal, five-assist performance last weekend against the Rochester Knighthawks. He earned the game MVP for his efforts and currently leads all players in fantasy with 24 points. His price has already skyrocketed but is still very affordable. Although I don’t think that he will repeat what he did against the Knighthawks, he proved that he can put up those kinds of numbers and for this price I want on this train.

Scott Evans (Toronto $15) – The Edmonton Rush released Scott Evans during the offseason and it took the Toronto Rock all of a week to sign him. Evans is a goal scorer which, at four points a pop, makes him very valuable in fantasy. People shouldn’t forget that he had back-to-back 40+ goal seasons in 2007 and 2008. He can still find the back of the net, too. In one of the Rock’s preseason games against the Rochester Knighthawks, Evans scored four goals.

 

SELL

Alex Turner (Edmonton $12) – Turner didn’t play at all last season which makes me wary of putting him on my fantasy roster right out of the gate. Fantasy managers should wait to see how he does and what role he plays in the revamped Wings offense before committing $12 to him.

Paul Rabil (Philadelphia $15) – At $15, Rabil is actually a pretty good deal, but he is another player who is best to take a “wait-and-see” approach since he sat out most of last season. Rabil should be on the floor for the season opener but that doesn’t necessarily mean you should rush to put him back onto your fantasy roster just yet.

Jordan MacIntosh (Minnesota $22) – MacIntosh was one of the best transition guys in the league last season when it came to fantasy scoring. With 301 total fantasy points, he was ranked second at the position (behind only Geoff Snider who had 302). MacIntosh’s value started last season at $12 and seemed to just go up and up. At $22 though, it may have reached its peak. In fact, he might be a little overpriced. MacIntosh was a runner-up for rookie of the year last season but there’s no telling if he can keep up a pace to justify spending so much money on him. For a few dollars less, you could put Brodie Merrill, who has a long track record of producing at a high level, on your roster.

 

MY TEAM

G – Buffalo ($16)

D – Matt Beers (Washington $5)

D – Kyle Sorensen (Washington $4)

T – Travis Cornwall (Calgary $5)

T – Kyle Hartzell (Philadelphia $4)

F – Adam Jones (Colorado $22)

F – Kevin Crowley (Philadelphia $22)

F – Mark Mathews (Edmonton $15)

F – Cliff Smith (Washington $9)

Team Value: $102

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