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Download Your Favorite Teams Schedule Here

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WK
1
Fri, Dec 2
FINAL
Philadelphia
8
Halifax
18
Sat, Dec 3
FINAL
Vancouver
8
Toronto
19
Sat, Dec 3
FINAL
San Diego
15
New York
14
Sat, Dec 3
FINAL
Albany
11
Buffalo
10
Sat, Dec 3
FINAL
Rochester
16
Georgia
11
Sat, Dec 3
FINAL
Colorado
6
Saskatchewan
18
WK
2
Fri, Dec 9
20:30:00
Las Vegas
Panther City
Fri, Dec 9
22:00:00
Saskatchewan
San Diego
Sat, Dec 10
19:00:00
Toronto
Rochester
Sat, Dec 10
21:30:00
Vancouver
Calgary
WK
3
Fri, Dec 16
22:00:00
Calgary
Vancouver
Fri, Dec 16
22:30:00
Panther City
Las Vegas
Sat, Dec 17
19:00:00
Buffalo
Toronto
Sat, Dec 17
19:00:00
Rochester
Albany
Sat, Dec 17
19:00:00
Philadelphia
Georgia
Sat, Dec 17
19:30:00
Halifax
New York
Sat, Dec 17
20:00:00
Colorado
Panther City
WK
5
Fri, Dec 30
19:30:00
Halifax
Buffalo
Fri, Dec 30
21:00:00
San Diego
Calgary
Sat, Dec 31
21:00:00
Panther City
Saskatchewan
WK
6
Fri, Jan 6
22:30:00
Philadelphia
Las Vegas
Sat, Jan 7
19:00:00
Panther City
Rochester
Sat, Jan 7
19:00:00
Halifax
Albany
Sat, Jan 7
19:00:00
Buffalo
Georgia
Sat, Jan 7
19:30:00
Toronto
New York
Sat, Jan 7
22:00:00
Vancouver
San Diego
Sun, Jan 8
0:00:00
Calgary
Colorado
WK
7
Fri, Jan 13
18:30:00
Albany
Halifax
Fri, Jan 13
21:00:00
Saskatchewan
Colorado
Sat, Jan 14
19:00:00
Halifax
Toronto
Sat, Jan 14
19:00:00
Panther City
Philadelphia
Sat, Jan 14
19:30:00
Georgia
Buffalo
Sat, Jan 14
21:00:00
San Diego
Calgary
Sat, Jan 14
22:00:00
Las Vegas
Vancouver
Sun, Jan 15
15:00:00
Rochester
New York
WK
8
Fri, Jan 20
19:30:00
Buffalo
Rochester
Fri, Jan 20
22:30:00
Vancouver
Las Vegas
Sat, Jan 21
19:00:00
New York
Albany
Sat, Jan 21
19:00:00
Toronto
Philadelphia
WK
9
Fri, Jan 27
18:00:00
Rochester
Halifax
Fri, Jan 27
19:00:00
Buffalo
Philadelphia
Sat, Jan 28
19:30:00
Buffalo
New York
Sat, Jan 28
20:30:00
Las Vegas
Saskatchewan
Sat, Jan 28
21:00:00
Toronto
Calgary
Sat, Jan 28
21:00:00
San Diego
Colorado
Sat, Jan 28
22:00:00
Panther City
Vancouver
WK
10
Fri, Feb 3
21:00:00
Georgia
Colorado
Sat, Feb 4
18:00:00
Calgary
Halifax
Sat, Feb 4
19:00:00
New York
Toronto
Sat, Feb 4
19:00:00
Albany
Philadelphia
Sat, Feb 4
19:30:00
Rochester
Buffalo
Sat, Feb 4
22:00:00
Panther City
San Diego
Sat, Feb 4
22:00:00
Saskatchewan
Vancouver
Sat, Feb 4
22:30:00
Colorado
Las Vegas
WK
11
Fri, Feb 10
19:30:00
Toronto
Georgia
Fri, Feb 10
21:00:00
Saskatchewan
Calgary
Sat, Feb 11
19:00:00
Halifax
Rochester
Sat, Feb 11
19:30:00
Albany
New York
Sat, Feb 11
20:00:00
Vancouver
Panther City
Sat, Feb 11
21:00:00
Colorado
Calgary
WK
12
Fri, Feb 17
22:00:00
Saskatchewan
San Diego
Fri, Feb 17
22:00:00
Calgary
Vancouver
Sat, Feb 18
19:00:00
Georgia
Toronto
Sat, Feb 18
19:00:00
Las Vegas
Albany
Sat, Feb 18
19:30:00
Philadelphia
Buffalo
Sat, Feb 18
20:00:00
Colorado
Panther City
Sun, Feb 19
13:00:00
New York
Halifax
WK
13
Fri, Feb 24
21:00:00
Panther City
Colorado
Fri, Feb 24
22:30:00
Calgary
Las Vegas
Sat, Feb 25
19:00:00
New York
Rochester
Sat, Feb 25
19:00:00
Albany
Georgia
Sat, Feb 25
20:00:00
Vancouver
Saskatchewan
WK
14
Fri, Mar 3
18:30:00
Buffalo
Halifax
Fri, Mar 3
21:00:00
Las Vegas
San Diego
Sat, Mar 4
11:30:00
New York
Philadelphia
Sat, Mar 4
19:00:00
Rochester
Toronto
Sat, Mar 4
19:00:00
Georgia
Albany
Sat, Mar 4
20:00:00
Saskatchewan
Panther City
Mon, Mar 6
19:00:00
Toronto
Philadelphia
WK
15
Fri, Mar 10
19:30:00
Halifax
Buffalo
Fri, Mar 10
21:00:00
Calgary
Colorado
Sat, Mar 11
19:00:00
Albany
Toronto
Sat, Mar 11
19:30:00
Philadelphia
New York
Sat, Mar 11
20:30:00
San Diego
Saskatchewan
Sat, Mar 11
22:30:00
Vancouver
Las Vegas
Sun, Mar 12
16:00:00
Rochester
Georgia
WK
16
Fri, Mar 17
21:00:00
Saskatchewan
Calgary
Fri, Mar 17
22:00:00
San Diego
Vancouver
Sat, Mar 18
11:00:00
Georgia
Philadelphia
Sat, Mar 18
18:00:00
Toronto
Halifax
Sat, Mar 18
19:30:00
Albany
New York
Sat, Mar 18
19:30:00
Colorado
Buffalo
Sat, Mar 18
20:00:00
Las Vegas
Panther City
Sun, Mar 19
15:00:00
Philadelphia
Rochester
WK
17
Fri, Mar 24
20:30:00
San Diego
Panther City
Sat, Mar 25
19:00:00
Toronto
Albany
Sat, Mar 25
19:00:00
Halifax
Philadelphia
Sat, Mar 25
19:30:00
Georgia
New York
Sat, Mar 25
21:30:00
Calgary
Saskatchewan
Sat, Mar 25
22:00:00
Buffalo
San Diego
Sat, Mar 25
22:00:00
Colorado
Vancouver
Sat, Mar 25
22:30:00
Rochester
Las Vegas
WK
18
Fri, Mar 31
20:00:00
New York
Georgia
Fri, Mar 31
21:00:00
Las Vegas
Colorado
Fri, Mar 31
22:00:00
Calgary
San Diego
Sat, Apr 1
19:00:00
Buffalo
Toronto
Sat, Apr 1
20:00:00
Albany
Panther City
Sat, Apr 1
21:30:00
Vancouver
Saskatchewan
Sun, Apr 2
13:00:00
Georgia
Halifax
Sun, Apr 2
18:00:00
Rochester
Philadelphia
WK
19
Sat, Apr 8
19:00:00
Albany
Rochester
Sat, Apr 8
19:00:00
Saskatchewan
Georgia
Sat, Apr 8
21:00:00
Panther City
Calgary
Sat, Apr 8
21:00:00
Vancouver
Colorado
Sat, Apr 8
22:30:00
San Diego
Las Vegas
WK
20
Fri, Apr 14
21:00:00
Las Vegas
Calgary
Fri, Apr 14
21:00:00
San Diego
Colorado
Sat, Apr 15
19:00:00
Philadelphia
Toronto
Sat, Apr 15
19:00:00
Georgia
Albany
Sat, Apr 15
19:30:00
New York
Buffalo
Sat, Apr 15
21:30:00
Halifax
Saskatchewan
Sat, Apr 15
22:00:00
Panther City
Vancouver
WK
21
Fri, Apr 21
20:30:00
Calgary
Panther City
Sat, Apr 22
18:00:00
New York
Halifax
Sat, Apr 22
19:00:00
Georgia
Rochester
Sat, Apr 22
20:00:00
Toronto
Buffalo
Sat, Apr 22
21:30:00
Colorado
Saskatchewan
Sat, Apr 22
22:00:00
Las Vegas
San Diego
Sun, Apr 23
15:00:00
Philadelphia
Albany
WK
22
Sat, Apr 29
19:00:00
Philadelphia
Rochester
Sat, Apr 29
19:00:00
Buffalo
Albany
Sat, Apr 29
19:00:00
Halifax
Georgia
Sat, Apr 29
22:00:00
Colorado
San Diego
Sat, Apr 29
22:00:00
New York
Vancouver
Sat, Apr 29
22:30:00
Saskatchewan
Las Vegas
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Stories/Op-Ed

By The Numbers: 2015 Nll Standings

It’s no secret that sports fans consider close games that come down to the wire to be the best. The unpredictable outcome paired along with instantaneous joy or heartbreak are what make the games so exciting. The win-loss column doesn’t care how the outcome of the game came to be, just that one team won and the other didn’t. Sports are made on this concept, but it’s hard to analyze teams based on their win-loss record along, and that too is no secret. If a team is constantly losing close games, they may not be bad, but unlucky. As much as sports fans think everything happen for a reason, a lot of outcomes are based on luck, especially in small sample sizes.

Here are the current NLL league wide standings headed into Week 15:
 

Team Record Win Percentage
Toronto 11-4 0.733
Edmonton 9-4 0.692
Rochester 9-4 0.692
Colorado 8-6 0.571
Buffalo 7-7 0.500
Minnesota 5-9 0.357
New England 4-8 0.333
Vancouver 4-9 0.308
Calgary 4-10 0.286

By removing all one-goal games, we leave games that were clearly won by one team, though we cannot take the larger scale randomness out of the games. All wins and losses will be by at least two goals, with all empty-netters removed.
 

Team Record One Goal Wins One Goal Losses Record Without Win Percentage
Edmonton 9-4 2 3 7-1 0.875
Rochester 9-4 3 2 6-2 0.750
Toronto 11-4 6 2 5-2 0.714
Colorado 8-6 2 0 6-6 0.500
Buffalo 7-7 3 3 4-4 0.500
Calgary 4-10 1 6 3-4 0.429
Vancouver 4-9 0 2 4-7 0.364
Minnesota 5-9 1 1 4-8 0.333
New England 4-8 2 1 2-7 0.222

This chart helps us have clearer picture of who is clearly winning and losing games, and which teams may be lucky/unlucky late in games. Interestingly, this chart can tell us something about the seasons of Toronto, Calgary, and Edmonton.

Toronto has been on top of the standings and the NLL Power Rankings on IL Indoor pretty much all season, due to significant additions to their defense, breakout offensive players in Rob Hellyer and Brett Hickey, and above far average goaltending (Rose and Miller are ranked second and fourth in the league in save percentage respectively). These factors are enough to justify Toronto’s success, but it’s good to look at the chart above to keep their success so far, in context. They are the league leaders in one-goal games by twice the amount of the next team team. Without those games, they still sit near the top of the standings, but are no longer the runaway leaders.

When we look at the Calgary Roughnecks, we see a much more positive spin on the season than the regular standings have told. In this scenario, they would be in a playoff spot ahead of Vancouver. Luck has not been on their side (six one-goal losses), with their goaltending performing far below average early in the season.
 

SV% Game Result Decision
0.647 1 14-18
0.622 2 16-17 L
0.600 3 8-16 L
0.769 4 11-12 L
0.750 5 14-15 L
0.755 6 9-13 L
0.735 7 16-13 W
0.767 8 11-12 L
0.788 9 12-11 W
0.667 10 7-13 L
0.836 11 20-9 W
0.792 12 10-12 L
0.824 13 8-9 L
0.735 14 14-9 W

Calgary’s rough start goaltending-wise dealt them a blow, but the numbers have since recovered, partly thanks to Frankie Scigliano’s play, and partly because it’s hard to sustain numbers that bad for a long time. They still aren’t near the top of the league in this category, but compared to their start, average netminding is a meaningful improvement. Without having to worry about goaltending, it’s hard to count the Roughnecks out at this point. They only sit half a game back of Vancouver for the final playoff spot in the West Division, and pose a big threat to both Edmonton and Colorado if they were to get Calgary in a playoff matchup.

In our new chart, Edmonton is the top team in the league with seven wins and one loss. This stays true when you look at goal differential as well.
 

Team GF GA Goal Differential
xEdmonton 180 125 55
xToronto 191 159 32
Rochester 142 129 13
xColorado 174 168 6
Buffalo 167 171 -4
Calgary 170 179 -9
New England 133 159 -26
Minnesota 145 176 -31
Vancouver 162 198 -36

Edmonton is not just winning, but they’re winning by the largest amount of any team out there. At this stage of the season, they’re playing like the best team in the NLL, and have shown it by winning five games in a row. The Rush defense is deadly, only allowing three goals to the Rochester Knighthawks two weeks ago. That game helped to bring their goals against average to 11.4, the lowest in the league. The Rush’s offensive output is also the best, averaging 13.8 goals per game, thanks in part to a franchise record-breaking year from Mark Matthews has 85 points (38+47). They have also had significant help from Robert Church (30+38), Zack Greer (33+29), and the rookie Ben McIntosh (25+35). All four forwards sit in the top 16 in league scoring, with eight other players in the mix who have played more games.

The final chart also shows some unfavorable results for Vancouver, which averages over 15 goals against per game. It’s tough to score more than 15 goals per game consistently, so it’s very important for them to make some defensive changes if they are going to fend off Calgary for the last playoff spot in the West Division. Having Tyler Richards out doesn’t help their cause right now.

NLL Week 15 features six games this weekend so we will have an even better idea about which teams are the contenders and pretenders headed down the final stretch of the regular season in the quest for the Champion’s Cup.

By Mike Wilson (@RushBeat) for NLL.com.

NLL